Sports playing can be very profitable if anyone know the secrets and techniques this “smart money” gamblers apply to consistently make cash. One of the greatest secrets that clever money gamblers use can be knowing when NOT to bet.
Here’s a great example of this. I analyzed often the Western Va vs. Louisville activity, and concluded that West California had this edge in the game. Yet , We also noticed that there have been a whole lot of random and unforeseen factors, and recommended to my clients that they accomplish not bet on this particular game. Here is my personal analysis I released in advance of the game:
West Va or Louisville
This video game offers all the signs of being one of the most effective games regarding the year, along with the two teams coming into the adventure 7-0. It’s #3 rated West Virginia vs. #5 ranked Louisville, both with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s video game was a classic, using Western Virginia coming back from getting down massive in the final 1 fourth to winning inside overtime.
So what’s the adventure appear like this year?
In the event this game were as played in a new neutral field, West Florida might probably be a 4-6 place favorite. Since the game is in Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if this will make sense…
West Virginia will be on an unprecedented roll. These people haven’t lost given that Oct. 1, 2005, going 14-0 since they lost to Virginia Tech. On the last two times they’re 13-5 ATS likewise. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last being unfaithful games overall, and 8-2 ATS in their previous 10 ROUTE games.
These types of are some very impressive stats that tilt typically the scales in favor involving WVU with regard to tonight’s game. Plus, เว็บแทงบอล added bonus offer is that WVU will be GETTING +1 point. This could not appear like substantially, but in a close match-up similar to this, that spare point could make the variation between a new push and even a loss.
But what regarding Louisville?
Louisville’s stats are almost as good because WVU’s -except when the idea comes to Louisville within the point spread. In their own previous 10 games, Louisville is only 4-6 ATS. That will said, Louisville is all the same 7-3 ATS inside their final 10 home game titles.
Together with if you’re leaning toward WVU, here’s a daunting stat… Louisville hasn’t dropped at home since Dec 20, the year 2003! During this recent run Louisville is hitting 49. 4 points each game in your house, while hitting only letting go of 15. 6 points every game on home. In case anyone decided not to do the mathematics, that means considering that their particular last home loss they are yet to averaged beating their very own competitors by simply about 34 things per game.
Furthermore amazing, the average line during these games has only also been 21 points. That method Louisville has beaten the range, on average, by way of 13 details per online game at home given that the year 2003.
Wow… how can a person go against that?
Here’s exactly how…
Almost all of those stats have been developed during the 2006 season. This year, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to fine than great. They’ve experienced recent games in which they are yet to only scored 36, twenty-three, 24 points. These types of video games weren’t against Ohio Saint. or Michigan. These people had been against Cincinnati, Syracuse, plus Kansas St.
The end result is the fact that this is still a new close sport to call. Although the things i look with regard to is West Virginia’s protection to carry the working day. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St. can just about all hold Louisville under 25 points, then there’s not any explanation to think WVU can’t have one to the low to middle 20’s. My honest recommendation is definitely to lay off this kind of game and not necessarily guarantee at all. There happen to be better activities this weekend with more simple benefits.
The final score on this game was Louisville 46, West Florida 34. Lousiville won because West Florida had 6 fumbles in addition to allowed Lousiville to return a good punt for some sort of TD. The bottom line was the fact that West Virginia’s border has not been so big that they can can still win soon after generating so many mistakes. By not betting on that game, people critical concerning sports betting saved money these people can offer better apply on upcoming games.